Sabtu, 28 Januari 2012
Should've never woken up in the first place...
I woke up and thought to myself, "Man, I slept really well." Then I realized I was dreaming, woke up again, and to my dismay, realized I actually hadn't.
What was it like to live among giants?
(From the Bellagio Conservatory & Botanical Gardens)
Recently, I found myself staring in wonderment at these large horses made of leaves. It reminded me of being a child, feeling like a dwarf in the land of giants. It also reminded me that our ancestors lived among giant animals, and most likely rode horses as large as the ones I was looking at.
Here's bones of another giant animal our ancestors lived among:
Which got me thinking, that a large arc of human history was about the destruction of giants. We spent much of our evolutionary history over-hunting large animals to extinction. We started out living in fear of the large ones, only to then develop tools and know-how to destroy them. This continued to the point until humans were finally in charge of the animal kingdom.
But recently, starting from around the invention of farming 10,000 years ago, we have found ourselves again in the land of giants. We've created structures and machines much larger than us. We've created societies and governments that have the power to destroy us at their will. Whereas before we were concerned about giant sloths or mammoths trampling our terrain, we are now afraid of cars hitting us or our infrastructure (electricity, sewage) breaking down and crippling us.
Which makes me wonder, will we ever again be the biggest kid on the block? Will the individual ever feel totally self-posessed? Was that period when there were no giants above humans just a transitory period of dominance on the way to us being forever dominated by our own creations?
The waking world is a dream world that is consistent enough for our psychic appetites
What if our dreams are tentative realities, and that choosing not to wake up is how we decide to keep them.
The discovery of quantum mechanics and the infinite multverse theory have become fodder for dream theorists. Perhaps dreams are samples of those infinite permutations of alternative universes, and when we wake up, that's really just the so-called "observation" that forces a choice of a world that is logically consistent, i.e. now, this, Earth, you in your job and objects that obey gravity.
Should you kill bad guys in your dreams?
(photo source)
Should you kill bad guys in your dreams? Sure, why not? They're not alive right? Well, you really only have two bases for this belief. One is that in your dreams, you remember having woken up before from a similar loopy world. You remember being in a place where there is no evidence of a dream world anywhere. And so you think to yourself, "I'll snap out of this, and none of it will exist anymore, therefore it's not real." So, you're 100% confident you can take down muggers or whoever you want with no regret. After all, there will be no material consequences in your waking world.
The second basis is that your dream world is fantastical and subject to your imagination, further proof it's not real. But lets deconstruct that. Its fantastical relative to our waking world, but why should that lead us to favor the waking world more? Isn't a world that is rigidly governed by rules, like the laws of physics, more insane than one without. In fact, it drives physicists to insane deductions to try to make it all unify and fit together. It drives us religiously insanse because we look around and think, "Wow, look at this order and perfection, its got to have been designed by some infinite genius." And then we kill each other over who is more right about the true nature of this genius, when really we're masking our own insecurities about these conclusions.
Also, so what if our dreams are subject to our imaginations? That's just another way of saying they're subject to our will. But isn't our waking world also subject to our will in a way. What if there is more of our waking world that is subject to our will than our brains let us believe. What if we have a neurochemical process that dopes us into forgetting the true extent of our influence. Evolutionarily, that'd make sense, since it'd help us from feeling burdened by responsibilty and guilt.
So the next time you decide to stab those monsters in your sleep, think twice. Or wake up.
Figuring out the most electable Republican candidate using Intrade
Intrade is a futures market where people bet real money on the likelihood of real-world events, like political outcomes. It's eerily accurate, and I follow it obsessively to get a real gauge on the changing fortunes of political candidates.
Today, I wondered if it's possible to use a basic conditional probability formula to determine which Republican candidate is most likely to beat Obama IF they win the Republican nomination. In other words, which candidate is the most "electable."
The formula I used is the following:
In layman's terms, the "probability of A given B" is equal to the "probability of A and B" divided by the "probability of just B." So to apply this to Intrade, treat A and B as winning the general election, and B as just winning the nomination. So you take the probability that a candidate will win the general election and divide it by the probability that they will win the Republican nomination. Following this formula, here's what I came up with:
The results make sense in a way. Jon Huntsman is very competent, gaffe-proof, scandal-free, and has major crossover appeal. Ron Paul also has crossover appeal it seems; whenever I present quotes from Ron Paul to my liberal friends they generally respond favorably.
Gingrich vs. Romney is interesting. I think while Romney may have more crossover appeal, he is too much like Obama (thanks to the hinging of Romneycare to Obamacare), and so whatever appeal he might get, Obama will have already siphoned it.
Gingrinch, on the other hand, is polarizing, and so if Republican sentiment is more positive than Democratic sentiment, he will be the one to seize it during the general election.
Kamis, 05 Januari 2012
Ninja Saga | Instant All In One Shop 31 Desember 2011
Tampilan jika level anda tidak memenuhi syarat Instant Mission
Tampilan jika anda sudah menyelesaikan daily, tetapi anda ingin melakukannya lagi
Hai sobat semua, sudah lihatkan gambar-gambar diatas. Kini Alfian's Blog Community akan memberikan sesuatu yang special untuk menemani kalian di Malam Tahun Baru !
Fitur :
1. Instant All Mission in Mission Room
2. Instant TP Mission3. Instant Kill all Boss
4. Instant Update Daily Task
5. Instant Exam (Chunin, Jounin)
Keunggulan :
1. Jika level anda tidak memenuhi syarat, akan terjadi seperti gambar yang ke-1
2. Jika anda mencoba mengulang Daily, akan terjadi seperti gambar yang ke-2
3. Tahan lama, artinya tidak cepet ERROR
Peralatan :1. Fiddler2
2. Mozzila / Google Chrome
3. SWF File
a. Via Ziddu - Download
b. Via MediaFire - Download
> Password : -ABC- <
4.
Cara memakai cheat :
1. Download dulu fiddler
2. Kemudian Install Fiddler
3. Baru jalankan Fiddler
4. Klik Tab AutoResponder (yg icon-nya petir hijau)
5. Jatuhkan .SWF File yang kamu download tadi ke kolom AutoResponder
6. Setelah itu bersihkan chace
7. Masuk ke Ninja Saga
8. Baru pilih karakter yang akan kamu mainkan
Cara menghapus chace :
> Untuk Mozilla Firefox : Tools -> Options -> Advanced -> Pilih Network Tab -> Clear Now -> Klik OK
> Untuk Google Chrome : Pilih icon yang berada di pojok kanan atas (sebelah bintang) -> Options -> Under the Hood -> Clear Browsing Data -> Empty the cache -> Clear Browsing Data
Langganan:
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